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For existing models that could be validated, predictive performance was generally poor and although the IPPIC models showed promising predictive performance on average, heterogeneity was likely in calibration performance.
* Corresponding author Email: k.snell@keele.ac.uk
† Joint first authors (both contributed equally)
‡ The full list of authors can be found in Appendix 1.
§ The full list of partners in the IPPIC Collaborative Network can be found in Acknowledgements.
Joint first authors (both contributed equally)
The full list of authors can be found in Appendix 1.
The full list of partners in the IPPIC Collaborative Network can be found in Acknowledgements.
Declared competing interests of authors: Gordon CS Smith has received research support from Roche Holding AG (Basel, Switzerland) (supply of equipment and reagents for biomarker studies of ≈£600,000 in value) and Sera Prognostics (Salt Lake City, UT, USA) (≈£100,000), and has been paid by Roche to attend an advisory board and to present at a meeting. He is a named inventor on a patent filed by Cambridge Enterprise (UK Patent Application Number 1808489.7, ‘Novel Biomarkers’) for the prediction of pre-eclampsia and fetal growth restriction. Ignacio Herraiz reports personal fees from Roche Diagnostics and Thermo Fisher Scientific (Waltham, MA, USA). John Kingdom reports personal fees from Roche Canada (Mississauga, ON, Canada). Lucy C Chappell is chairperson of the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment (HTA) CET Committee (January 2019 to present). Asma Khalil is a member of the NIHR HTA Board (November 2018 to present). Jane E Norman is a member of the NIHR HTA MNCH Panel, and she reports grants from NIHR and Chief Scientist Office Scotland, as well as consultancy fees from and participation in data monitoring committees for Dilafor AB (Solna, Sweden) and GlaxoSmithKline (Brentford, UK). Kajantie Eero reports grants from the Academy of Finland, the Foundation for Paediatric Research, the Signe and Ane Gyllenberg Foundation (Helsinki, Finland), the Sigrid Jusélius Foundation (Helsinki, Finland), the Juho Vainio Foundation (Helsinki, Finland), the European Commission, the NORFACE DIAL Programme, the Novo Nordisk Foundation (Hellerup, Denmark), the Yrjö Jahnsson Foundation (Helsinki, Finland), Foundation for Cardiovascular Research (Zürich, Switzerland) and the Diabetes Research Foundation. Ben W Mol reports fellowship from the National Health and Medical Research Council (Canberra, ACT, Australia), personal fees from ObsEva (Plan-les-Ouates, Switzerland), personal fees and consultancy fees from Merck Sharp & Dohme (Kenilworth, NJ, USA), personal fees from Guerbet (Villepinte, France), travel funds from Guerbet and grants from Merck Sharp & Dohme. Richard D Riley reports personal fees from the British Medical Journal for statistical reviews, and from Roche and the universities of Leeds, Edinburgh and Exeter for training on individual participant data meta-analysis methods. Jacques Massé reports grants from National Health Research and Development Program, Health and Welfare Canada, during the conduct of the study. Paul T Seed is partly funded by King’s Health Partners Institute of Women and Children’s Health, Tommy’s (registered charity number 1060508) and ARC South London (NIHR). The views expressed are not necessarily those of KHP, Tommy’s, the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health.
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