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For existing models that could be validated, predictive performance was generally poor and although the IPPIC models showed promising predictive performance on average, heterogeneity was likely in calibration performance.

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John AlloteyORCID logo, Kym IE SnellORCID logo, Melanie SmukORCID logo, Richard HooperORCID logo, Claire L ChanORCID logo, Asif AhmedORCID logo, Lucy C ChappellORCID logo, Peter von DadelszenORCID logo, Julie DoddsORCID logo, Marcus GreenORCID logo, Louise KennyORCID logo, Asma KhalilORCID logo, Khalid S KhanORCID logo, Ben W MolORCID logo, Jenny MyersORCID logo, Lucilla PostonORCID logo, Basky ThilaganathanORCID logo, Anne C StaffORCID logo, Gordon CS SmithORCID logo, Wessel GanzevoortORCID logo, Hannele LaivuoriORCID logo, Anthony O OdiboORCID logo, Javier A RamírezORCID logo, John KingdomORCID logo, George DaskalakisORCID logo, Diane FarrarORCID logo, Ahmet A BaschatORCID logo, Paul T SeedORCID logo, Federico PrefumoORCID logo, Fabricio da Silva CostaORCID logo, Henk GroenORCID logo, Francois AudibertORCID logo, Jacques MasséORCID logo, Ragnhild B SkråstadORCID logo, Kjell Å SalvesenORCID logo, Camilla HaavaldsenORCID logo, Chie NagataORCID logo, Alice R RumboldORCID logo, Seppo HeinonenORCID logo, Lisa M AskieORCID logo, Luc JM SmitsORCID logo, Christina A VinterORCID logo, Per M MagnusORCID logo, Kajantie EeroORCID logo, Pia M VillaORCID logo, Anne K JenumORCID logo, Louise B AndersenORCID logo, Jane E NormanORCID logo, Akihide OhkuchiORCID logo, Anne EskildORCID logo, Sohinee BhattacharyaORCID logo, Fionnuala M McAuliffeORCID logo, Alberto GalindoORCID logo, Ignacio HerraizORCID logo, Lionel CarbillonORCID logo, Kerstin Klipstein-GrobuschORCID logo, SeonAe YeoORCID logo, Helena J TeedeORCID logo, Joyce L BrowneORCID logo, Karel GM MoonsORCID logo, Richard D RileyORCID logo & Shakila ThangaratinamORCID logo.

John Allotey 1,2,, Kym IE Snell 3,*,, Melanie Smuk 2, Richard Hooper 2, Claire L Chan 2, Asif Ahmed 4, Lucy C Chappell 5, Peter von Dadelszen 5, Julie Dodds 1,2, Marcus Green 6, Louise Kenny 7, Asma Khalil 8, Khalid S Khan 1,2, Ben W Mol 9, Jenny Myers 10, Lucilla Poston 5, Basky Thilaganathan 8, Anne C Staff 11,12, Gordon CS Smith 13, Wessel Ganzevoort 14, Hannele Laivuori 15,16,17,18, Anthony O Odibo 19, Javier A Ramírez 20, John Kingdom 21, George Daskalakis 22, Diane Farrar 23, Ahmet A Baschat 24, Paul T Seed 5, Federico Prefumo 25, Fabricio da Silva Costa 26, Henk Groen 27, Francois Audibert 28, Jacques Massé 29, Ragnhild B Skråstad 30,31, Kjell Å Salvesen 32,33, Camilla Haavaldsen 34, Chie Nagata 35, Alice R Rumbold 36, Seppo Heinonen 37, Lisa M Askie 38, Luc JM Smits 39, Christina A Vinter 40, Per M Magnus 41, Kajantie Eero 42,43, Pia M Villa 37, Anne K Jenum 44, Louise B Andersen 45,46, Jane E Norman 47, Akihide Ohkuchi 48, Anne Eskild 34,49, Sohinee Bhattacharya 50, Fionnuala M McAuliffe 51, Alberto Galindo 52,53, Ignacio Herraiz 54, Lionel Carbillon 55, Kerstin Klipstein-Grobusch 56, SeonAe Yeo 57, Helena J Teede 58, Joyce L Browne 56, Karel GM Moons 56,59, Richard D Riley 3, Shakila Thangaratinam 1,2

* Corresponding author Email: k.snell@keele.ac.uk

Joint first authors (both contributed equally)

The full list of authors can be found in Appendix 1.

§ The full list of partners in the IPPIC Collaborative Network can be found in Acknowledgements.

Joint first authors (both contributed equally)

The full list of authors can be found in Appendix 1.

The full list of partners in the IPPIC Collaborative Network can be found in Acknowledgements.

Declared competing interests of authors: Gordon CS Smith has received research support from Roche Holding AG (Basel, Switzerland) (supply of equipment and reagents for biomarker studies of ≈£600,000 in value) and Sera Prognostics (Salt Lake City, UT, USA) (≈£100,000), and has been paid by Roche to attend an advisory board and to present at a meeting. He is a named inventor on a patent filed by Cambridge Enterprise (UK Patent Application Number 1808489.7, ‘Novel Biomarkers’) for the prediction of pre-eclampsia and fetal growth restriction. Ignacio Herraiz reports personal fees from Roche Diagnostics and Thermo Fisher Scientific (Waltham, MA, USA). John Kingdom reports personal fees from Roche Canada (Mississauga, ON, Canada). Lucy C Chappell is chairperson of the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment (HTA) CET Committee (January 2019 to present). Asma Khalil is a member of the NIHR HTA Board (November 2018 to present). Jane E Norman is a member of the NIHR HTA MNCH Panel, and she reports grants from NIHR and Chief Scientist Office Scotland, as well as consultancy fees from and participation in data monitoring committees for Dilafor AB (Solna, Sweden) and GlaxoSmithKline (Brentford, UK). Kajantie Eero reports grants from the Academy of Finland, the Foundation for Paediatric Research, the Signe and Ane Gyllenberg Foundation (Helsinki, Finland), the Sigrid Jusélius Foundation (Helsinki, Finland), the Juho Vainio Foundation (Helsinki, Finland), the European Commission, the NORFACE DIAL Programme, the Novo Nordisk Foundation (Hellerup, Denmark), the Yrjö Jahnsson Foundation (Helsinki, Finland), Foundation for Cardiovascular Research (Zürich, Switzerland) and the Diabetes Research Foundation. Ben W Mol reports fellowship from the National Health and Medical Research Council (Canberra, ACT, Australia), personal fees from ObsEva (Plan-les-Ouates, Switzerland), personal fees and consultancy fees from Merck Sharp & Dohme (Kenilworth, NJ, USA), personal fees from Guerbet (Villepinte, France), travel funds from Guerbet and grants from Merck Sharp & Dohme. Richard D Riley reports personal fees from the British Medical Journal for statistical reviews, and from Roche and the universities of Leeds, Edinburgh and Exeter for training on individual participant data meta-analysis methods. Jacques Massé reports grants from National Health Research and Development Program, Health and Welfare Canada, during the conduct of the study. Paul T Seed is partly funded by King’s Health Partners Institute of Women and Children’s Health, Tommy’s (registered charity number 1060508) and ARC South London (NIHR). The views expressed are not necessarily those of KHP, Tommy’s, the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health.

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